CalculateRealEstateROI

Market Analysis

How do I know what cycle phase my market is in?

Watch DOM, months of supply, absorption, and pipeline. Rising DOM + supply = late cycle.

Reviewed by Keiron Brown, Founder & Editor, CalculateRealEstateROI · Educational estimates only — not investment, financial, tax, or legal advice

Direct answer

Watch DOM, months of supply, absorption, and pipeline. Rising DOM + supply = late cycle.

Expanded explanation

Four phases: recovery (rising rents, falling vacancy), expansion (peak rent growth, new supply), hyper-supply (rising vacancy, flat rents), recession (declining rents). Adjust strategy per phase.

Examples

  • Austin 2023: hyper-supply with 14k new units delivering.

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